Peer reviewed2026Auckland, New Zealand

Can Zoning Reform Reduce Housing Costs? Evidence from Auckland

Greenaway-McGrevy & So

Main finding

After Auckland's construction boom, quality-adjusted rents were substantially below the estimated path without reform.

Preferred estimate: the no-reform rent path was about 28% higher after six years

Most important limitation

This is one treated city, and the magnitude varies across specifications.

From the publication

Inspect the authors' figure directly

Study chart · redrawn

Figure 3 · Synthetic and actual rental price indexes

The actual and synthetic rent indexes track closely before 2016 and separate after the reform.

REDRAWN FROM STUDY DATAFigure 3 · Synthetic and actual rental price indexes
Figure 3 · Synthetic and actual rental price indexesThe actual and synthetic rent indexes track closely before 2016 and separate after the reform. Series recovered from the vector paths in published Figure 3 and checked against its axes and reported 2022 gap.-0.80-0.4000.40Log rent price index (2016 = 0)YearActual AucklandNo-reform comparisonREFORM2000200420082012201620202022
Figure 3 · Synthetic and actual rental price indexes. Series recovered from the vector paths in published Figure 3 and checked against its axes and reported 2022 gap.
YearActual AucklandNo-reform comparison
2000-0.632-0.621
2001-0.611-0.61
2002-0.531-0.57
2003-0.456-0.517
2004-0.435-0.463
2005-0.426-0.426
2006-0.406-0.372
2007-0.353-0.316
2008-0.314-0.275
2009-0.311-0.27
2010-0.276-0.236
2011-0.225-0.211
2012-0.187-0.182
2013-0.151-0.173
2014-0.108-0.145
2015-0.046-0.094
201600
20170.040.078
20180.0680.151
20190.0940.246
20200.1170.307
20210.1450.394
20220.1670.47

Source: Greenaway-McGrevy & So (2026), Figure 3; PDF p. 15.

Read carefully: This is one treated city, and the estimated gap is sensitive to donor composition and specification.

How this study is used

Claims this evidence supports

Strong evidenceMore homes give renters more leverage.See the full evidence stack →

Reference

Greenaway-McGrevy & So (2026). “Can Zoning Reform Reduce Housing Costs? Evidence from Auckland.”

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