Journal article2026Auckland, New Zealand

Can Zoning Reform Increase Housing Construction? Evidence from Auckland

Greenaway-McGrevy

Main finding

Auckland's broad upzoning approximately doubled dwelling permits per capita within five years relative to a synthetic comparison.

43,500 of 97,000 permits over six years were attributed to reform

Most important limitation

Permits are not completed homes, and the reform-attributed quantity is a counterfactual estimate.

From the publication

Inspect the authors' figure directly

Figure from the paper

Figure 5 · Synthetic and actual permits per thousand residents

Permits per resident tracked the synthetic comparison before reform, then rose sharply above it.

Published line chart comparing actual Auckland dwelling permits per thousand residents with synthetic Auckland from 1991 to 2022. The series track closely before 2016 and diverge sharply afterward.

Source: Greenaway-McGrevy (2026), Figure 5; PDF p. 18.

Read carefully: The outcome is permits per resident, not completed or occupied homes. Synthetic Auckland is an estimated counterfactual.

How this study is used

Claims this evidence supports

Reference

Greenaway-McGrevy (2026). “Can Zoning Reform Increase Housing Construction? Evidence from Auckland.”

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