Peer reviewed2019San Francisco

The Effects of Rent Control Expansion on Tenants, Landlords, and Inequality

Diamond, McQuade & Qian

Main finding

Rent control increased stability for covered tenants, while affected landlords converted or redeveloped buildings and reduced the regulated rental supply.

Covered tenants were 10–20% more likely to remain; treated rental supply fell 15%

Most important limitation

The often-cited 5.1% citywide rent increase is a structural-model estimate, not the direct reduced-form rent coefficient, and the policy is specific to San Francisco.

From the publication

Inspect the authors' figure directly

Study chart · redrawn

Figures 1a and 6a · Tenant and landlord responses

The paper separately traces covered tenants staying longer and renters leaving treated buildings.

REDRAWN FROM STUDY DATAFigures 1a and 6a · Tenant and landlord responses
Figures 1a and 6a · Tenant and landlord responsesThe paper separately traces covered tenants staying longer and renters leaving treated buildings. Values reconstructed from quantities reported by the authors at Figures 1a and 6a and the authors’ headline estimates.-20%-10%0%10%20%Estimated change (%)Outcome1994 expansion effectCovered tena…Rental suppl…Modeled city…
Figures 1a and 6a · Tenant and landlord responses. Values reconstructed from quantities reported by the authors at Figures 1a and 6a and the authors’ headline estimates.
Outcome1994 expansion effect
Covered tenants remaining20
Rental supply in treated buildings-15
Modeled citywide market rent5.1

Source: Diamond, McQuade & Qian (2019), Figures 1a and 6a; PDF pp. 39 and 44.

Read carefully: These are separate tenant and landlord outcomes, not one net welfare measure. The charts retain the authors’ original outcome definitions.

How this study is used

Claims this evidence supports

Strong evidenceRent control can protect covered tenants while shrinking the rental supply.See the full evidence stack →

Reference

Diamond, McQuade & Qian (2019). “The Effects of Rent Control Expansion on Tenants, Landlords, and Inequality.”

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