Neighborhood churn rises where more housing is built—but move-ins rise too.

In Los Angeles and San Francisco, higher-construction block groups show both higher move-out and higher move-in rates.

FROM THE PAPERFigure 1 · Move-in and move-out rates by construction

Published four-panel bar chart of low- and moderate-income household move-in and move-out rates by amount of nearby market-rate or subsidized construction.

Source: Chapple & Song (2025) · Figure 1; PDF p. 8

Keep in mind: These are unconditional neighborhood averages; the paper's adjusted models are needed to separate construction from neighborhood demand.

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Neighborhood churn rises where more housing is built—but move-ins rise too.

In Los Angeles and San Francisco, higher-construction block groups show both higher move-out and higher move-in rates.

Source: Chapple & Song (2025)
Figure: Figure 1 · Move-in and move-out rates by construction · Figure 1; PDF p. 8
Keep in mind: These are unconditional neighborhood averages; the paper's adjusted models are needed to separate construction from neighborhood demand.

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